Comprehensive quarterly review integrating CW Intelligence data, WSJ sector analysis, and real-time geopolitical positioning. 35 positions across energy, defense, LNG, fertilizers, and critical minerals. Built for CalSTRS, CalPERS, and clients.
CW portfolios delivered +15.5% alpha over the S&P 500 in Q1 2026. Our energy-heavy, defense-forward allocation was built precisely for this environment — where real assets outperform and mega-cap tech struggles. The S&P fell 2.1% while the Magnificent 7 averaged -8.0%. Our thesis: own what the world needs (energy, food, defense, minerals), not what it wants (AI hype).
CW Intelligence Report · Sector Returns as of March 29, 2026
Source: CW Intelligence Report (3/29/26), WSJ Market Data (4/1–4/3/26), FactSet, Yahoo Finance
| # | Ticker | Company | Sector | Price | YTD | 1Yr | P/E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Oil/Royalty | $524.52 | +86.8% | +55.8% | 42.5 |
| 2 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Oil E&P | $57.91 | +41.0% | +8.2% | 18.5 |
| 3 | MPC | Marathon Petroleum | Oil/Refining | $155.00 | +40.8% | +5.5% | 8.5 |
| 4 | PSX | Phillips 66 | Oil/Refining | $135.00 | +35.8% | +8.2% | 12.5 |
| 5 | LMT | Lockheed Martin | Defense | $530.00 | +33.6% | +18.5% | 19.8 |
| 6 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Oil E&P | $120.95 | +31.0% | +18.5% | 13.8 |
| 7 | XOM | ExxonMobil | Oil/Integrated | $157.23 | +30.3% | +41.0% | 23.5 |
| 8 | CVX | Chevron | Oil/Integrated | $198.06 | +29.7% | +22.0% | 29.7 |
| 9 | NOC | Northrop Grumman | Defense | $520.00 | +29.0% | +22.5% | 28.5 |
| 10 | MP | MP Materials | Rare Earth | $28.00 | +25.5% | +42.5% | N/A |
Source: CW Intelligence Report, Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg (verified 3/29/26)
Oil & Energy leads all sectors at +24% YTD. TPL up 87%, OXY +41%. Geopolitical premium holding with Iran tensions. Our 25% allocation is working exactly as designed. WTI above $69 with structural supply constraints.
Natural gas +28% YTD. European LNG demand surging as Hormuz risk threatens oil supply routes. Cheniere (LNG) +12.8% with long-term contracted revenue. U.S. becoming world's largest LNG exporter. Structural multi-year tailwind.
NATO spending surge. EU pledging €800B in defense. LMT +33.6%, NOC +29%. AeroVironment (AVAV) +60% — Switchblade & Puma drone systems seeing unprecedented demand. Global drone market projected $163B by 2030. This is a multi-year structural shift.
Global food inflation accelerating. Sanctions disrupting Russian/Belarusian potash (40% of world supply). Nutrien (NTR) upgraded to Buy — strongest fundamentals. CF Industries +13% in March as world's largest ammonia producer. This is the overlooked commodity play of 2026.
Gold at $3,085 (+15.2% YTD). Central bank buying accelerating. NEM +22.5%, GOLD +18.5%. Mineral allocation is both a portfolio stabilizer and growth driver. Target $3,500+ by year-end. Add gold miners on any dips.
Mag 7 averaging -8% YTD. MSFT down 18%. Market rotating out of mega-cap tech into real assets. Our underweight is delivering alpha. Selective only: buy quality on deep dips (GOOGL, AVGO), avoid overvalued names (TSLA at 195x P/E).
Expanding our energy thesis with LNG plays (Cheniere, Energy Transfer). Adding fertilizer exposure (Nutrien, CF Industries) on food security thesis. Strengthening defense with drone & cybersecurity names (AVAV leading the $163B drone market, plus CRWD, PANW, FTNT at discounted prices). Adding beaten-down semiconductors (INTC, AMD) — buying low on the chip cycle. Keeping core energy overweight, trimming Mag 7 tech. Designed for growth with downside protection.
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Weight | YTD | Rationale | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OIL & ENERGY — 25% Allocation (8 Positions) | ||||||
XOM | ExxonMobil Integrated Oil & Gas | Energy | 5% | +30.3% | Largest integrated producer. +30% YTD. 2.6% yield. Core holding. | HOLD |
CVX | Chevron Integrated Oil & Gas | Energy | 4% | +29.7% | 3.5% yield, strong Gulf exposure. Energy sector +24% YTD. | HOLD |
COP | ConocoPhillips E&P Pure Play | Energy | 4% | +31.0% | Pure-play E&P. +31% YTD. Low P/E 13.8, 2.8% yield. | HOLD |
OXY | Occidental Petroleum E&P / Buffett Pick | Energy | 3% | +41.0% | +41% YTD. Berkshire-backed. Carbon capture optionality. | BUY |
LNG | Cheniere Energy LNG Export Leader | Energy/LNG | 3% | +12.8% | Largest U.S. LNG exporter. Nat gas +28%. Long-term contracted revenue. Hormuz crisis makes LNG essential. | NEW |
WMB | Williams Companies Nat Gas Pipeline | Energy | 2% | +22.2% | Midstream infrastructure. +22% YTD, 2.6% yield. Nat gas pipeline demand surging. | HOLD |
ET | Energy Transfer MLP / LNG Infrastructure | Energy/LNG | 2% | +10.2% | Largest midstream MLP. 6.8% yield. LNG export terminal exposure. Monthly income. | NEW |
EPD | Enterprise Products MLP / NGL Pipeline | Energy | 2% | +8.8% | 26-year distribution growth streak. 6.2% yield. Defensive income play. | HOLD |
| DEFENSE & ISRAELI SECURITY — 12% Allocation (6 Positions) | ||||||
LMT | Lockheed Martin Defense Prime | Defense | 3% | +33.6% | Top CW performer in defense. +33.6% YTD. NATO surge orders. 2.55% yield. | HOLD |
NOC | Northrop Grumman Stealth & Drone Tech | Defense | 2% | +29.0% | B-21 Raider program. +29% YTD. Autonomous systems. 1.55% yield. | HOLD |
RTX | RTX Corp (Raytheon) Missile & Air Defense | Defense | 2% | +12.5% | Missile systems in global demand. Patriot & NASAMS orders surging. 2.05% yield. | HOLD |
AVAV | AeroVironment Drones / UAS Systems | Defense | 2% | +72.0% | Best defense stock of 2026. +72% YTD. Acquired Israeli Orbit Technologies for $352.7M. Valkyrie drone program. Strong Buy consensus. | NEW |
ESLT | Elbit Systems Israeli Defense Prime | Defense | 2% | +51.0% | Israel's largest defense contractor. +51% YTD. $28.1B backlog. Iron Dome, Hermes drones. NATO expansion beneficiary. | NEW |
LHX | L3Harris Defense Electronics | Defense | 1% | +23.6% | Electronic warfare systems. +23.6% YTD. C5ISR capabilities. 2.05% yield. | HOLD |
| FERTILIZERS & AGRICULTURE — 7% Allocation (3 Positions) | ||||||
NTR | Nutrien Ltd World's Largest Fertilizer | Fertilizer | 3% | +8.5% | Strongest fertilizer fundamentals. Upgraded to Buy. Russian/Belarusian potash sanctions = massive tailwind. World's largest crop nutrient company. 4.2% yield. | NEW |
CF | CF Industries Ammonia & Nitrogen | Fertilizer | 2% | +13.0% | World's largest ammonia producer. +13% in March. Clean ammonia pivot for hydrogen economy. Low-cost North American gas advantage. | NEW |
DE | Deere & Company Farm Equipment | Agriculture | 2% | +23.8% | Agriculture equipment demand surging with commodity prices. +23.8% YTD. Precision ag technology leader. 1.35% yield. | HOLD |
| MINERALS & COMMODITIES — 10% Allocation (5 Positions) | ||||||
NEM | Newmont Corp Gold Mining | Gold | 2% | +22.5% | World's largest gold miner. Gold at $3,085, heading to $3,500+. 2.05% yield. Central bank buying accelerating. | ADD |
MP | MP Materials Rare Earth / Critical Minerals | Minerals | 2% | +25.5% | Only U.S. rare earth mine. +25.5% YTD. Critical for defense & EV supply chains. Geopolitical hedge against China. | BUY |
FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold | Minerals | 2% | +5.2% | Copper essential for electrification & defense. Dual copper/gold exposure. 1.55% yield. | HOLD |
LEU | Centrus Energy Uranium Enrichment | Nuclear | 2% | +15.8% | U.S. uranium enrichment monopoly. Nuclear renaissance for data center power. +15.8% YTD. | BUY |
NUE | Nucor Corp Steel | Materials | 2% | +12.0% | Domestic steel beneficiary of 25% tariffs. Infrastructure spending tailwind. 1.5% yield. | HOLD |
| CONSUMER STAPLES — 8% Allocation (3 Positions) | ||||||
CAG | Conagra Brands Packaged Foods | Staples | 3% | +7.0% | Strong Q1, organic sales growth. Frozen meals outperforming. Defensive with pricing power. | HOLD |
MKC | McCormick & Co Spices & Seasonings | Staples | 2% | +5.5% | Global food power. Unilever deal creates combined $65B entity. Pricing power in inflationary environment. | HOLD |
PEP | PepsiCo Beverages & Snacks | Staples | 3% | -2.5% | 53-year dividend streak. 3.65% yield. Defensive income. Buy on weakness — quality compounder. | BUY |
| PHARMA & HEALTHCARE — 8% Allocation (3 Positions) | ||||||
LLY | Eli Lilly Weight-Loss / GLP-1 | Pharma | 3% | +8.5% | Weight-loss pill opens $70B+ market. FDA-approved orforglipron. $21B projected sales by 2030. | HOLD |
PFE | Pfizer Pharma / Pipeline Recovery | Pharma | 2% | +8.5% | Pipeline recovery in progress. 6.35% yield. Deepest value in pharma. Massive income for cost basis. | BUY |
ABBV | AbbVie Immunology / Oncology | Pharma | 3% | -5.8% | Humira successors (Skyrizi, Rinvoq) growing 40%+. 3.55% yield. Buy the dip on patent cliff fears. | BUY |
| INFRASTRUCTURE & UTILITIES — 8% Allocation (3 Positions) | ||||||
GEV | GE Vernova Power Generation | Infrastructure | 3% | +24.6% | Data center power demand surging. +24.6% YTD. Gas turbine orders at all-time high. Grid modernization play. | HOLD |
NEE | NextEra Energy Renewables / Utility | Utilities | 2% | -5.2% | Largest utility by market cap. AI data center power contracts. 2.85% yield. Defensive anchor. | HOLD |
CAT | Caterpillar Heavy Equipment | Industrials | 3% | +22.4% | Infrastructure spending boom. +22.4% YTD. Construction + mining equipment demand. 1.55% yield. | HOLD |
| FINANCIALS — 7% Allocation (3 Positions) | ||||||
BRK.B | Berkshire Hathaway Conglomerate | Financials | 3% | +18.5% | Buffett-led. +18.5% YTD. Massive cash pile ($325B+). Ultimate defensive conglomerate. No yield but unmatched capital allocation. | HOLD |
JPM | JPMorgan Chase Banking Giant | Financials | 2% | -5.2% | Strongest bank balance sheet. 1.85% yield. NII benefits from rates staying higher. Buy on pullback. | HOLD |
CME | CME Group Exchange / Volatility | Financials | 2% | +5.8% | Volatility beneficiary. VIX at 21.65 (Fear). 4.25% yield. More volatility = more revenue. Perfect hedge. | BUY |
| TECHNOLOGY (SELECTIVE) — 5% Allocation (2 Positions) | ||||||
INTC | Intel Semiconductors / Foundry | Tech | 3% | +5.0% | $14.2B Apollo chip plant deal. Domestic semiconductor onshoring. Deep value play on U.S. fab renaissance. | HOLD |
GOOGL | Alphabet Cloud / Search / AI | Tech | 2% | -8.5% | Best value in Mag 7. P/E 22.5 (cheapest). Cloud + search moat. 0.5% yield. Opportunistic buy on weakness. | BUY |
| CASH & SHORT-TERM — 10% Reserve | ||||||
CASH | Money Market / T-Bills 4.5%+ Yield | Cash | 10% | +1.1% | Dry powder for opportunities. 4.5% risk-free yield. Deploy on any 5%+ S&P pullback into quality names. | HOLD |
Every position in the CW Halal Portfolio is screened against Islamic finance guidelines. We exclude impermissible revenue sources and excessive debt, then build around the massive compliant opportunity set in energy, defense, infrastructure, and real assets. In a war-time economy, the best-performing sectors are naturally halal-compliant — oil, defense, agriculture, minerals, and infrastructure all pass Sharia screening.
REMOVED FROM PORTFOLIO
Alcohol & tobacco, gambling & adult entertainment, conventional banking & insurance (interest-based / riba), pork-related products. No JPM, BRK.B, CME, or any interest-revenue companies.
HALAL COMPLIANT
Oil & gas, AI & technology, infrastructure, defense, healthcare, real assets & commodities, fertilizers & agriculture, Sharia-screened equities with <33% debt-to-assets.
MAX 33% DEBT-TO-ASSETS
All holdings must maintain total debt below 33% of total assets per AAOIFI standards. High-leverage companies automatically excluded regardless of sector.
MAX 5% IMPERMISSIBLE REVENUE
Companies with more than 5% revenue from non-compliant activities are excluded. Purification calculation provided for borderline holdings.
Full 25-position Sharia-compliant portfolio with allocations, yield data, and screening notes.
CW HALAL MODEL PORTFOLIO · 25 POSITIONS · APRIL 2026
| # | Ticker | Company | Sector | Weight | YTD | Yield | Halal Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⛽ HALAL ENERGY — 28% Allocation | |||||||
| 1 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Oil Royalty | 5% | +86.8% | 0.55% | ✅ Halal |
| 2 | XOM | ExxonMobil | Integrated | 5% | +30.3% | 2.60% | ✅ Halal |
| 3 | CVX | Chevron | Integrated | 4% | +29.7% | 3.50% | ✅ Halal |
| 4 | COP | ConocoPhillips | E&P | 4% | +31.0% | 2.80% | ✅ Halal |
| 5 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | E&P | 3% | +41.0% | 1.80% | ✅ Halal |
| 6 | LNG | Cheniere Energy | LNG Export | 4% | +12.8% | 0.85% | ✅ Halal |
| 7 | WMB | Williams Companies | Midstream | 3% | +22.2% | 2.60% | ✅ Halal |
| ✈ HALAL DEFENSE — 18% Allocation | |||||||
| 8 | LMT | Lockheed Martin | Defense Prime | 4% | +33.6% | 2.55% | ✅ Halal |
| 9 | RTX | RTX Corp (Raytheon) | Missiles | 3% | +12.5% | 2.05% | ✅ Halal |
| 10 | AVAV | AeroVironment | Drones/UAS | 3% | +60.0% | — | ✅ Halal |
| 11 | ESLT | Elbit Systems | Israeli Defense | 3% | +51.0% | 1.20% | ✅ Halal |
| 12 | NOC | Northrop Grumman | Stealth/Drone | 3% | +29.0% | 1.55% | ✅ Halal |
| 13 | GD | General Dynamics | Submarines | 2% | +2.5% | 2.05% | ✅ Halal |
| 🌾 HALAL AGRICULTURE & FERTILIZERS — 10% Allocation | |||||||
| 14 | NTR | Nutrien Ltd | Fertilizer | 4% | +8.5% | 4.20% | ✅ Halal |
| 15 | CF | CF Industries | Ammonia | 3% | +13.0% | 2.10% | ✅ Halal |
| 16 | DE | Deere & Company | Farm Equip | 3% | +23.8% | 1.35% | ✅ Halal |
| 🥇 HALAL MINERALS & GOLD — 14% Allocation | |||||||
| 17 | NEM | Newmont Corp | Gold Mining | 4% | +22.5% | 2.05% | ✅ Halal |
| 18 | MP | MP Materials | Rare Earth | 3% | +25.5% | — | ✅ Halal |
| 19 | FCX | Freeport-McMoRan | Copper/Gold | 3% | +5.2% | 1.55% | ✅ Halal |
| 20 | LEU | Centrus Energy | Uranium | 2% | +15.8% | — | ✅ Halal |
| 21 | NUE | Nucor Corp | Steel | 2% | +12.0% | 1.50% | ✅ Halal |
| 💻 HALAL TECH & INFRASTRUCTURE — 15% Allocation | |||||||
| 22 | GOOGL | Alphabet | Cloud/AI | 3% | -8.5% | 0.50% | ✅ Halal |
| 23 | GEV | GE Vernova | Power Gen | 4% | +24.6% | 0.25% | ✅ Halal |
| 24 | CAT | Caterpillar | Equipment | 4% | +22.4% | 1.55% | ✅ Halal |
| 25 | INTC | Intel Corp | Semiconductors | 4% | +5.0% | 1.30% | ✅ Halal |
| 💪 CASH RESERVE — 15% | |||||||
| — | CASH | Sukuk / Islamic Money Market | Cash | 15% | +1.1% | ~4.0% | ✅ Halal |
Why This Works: The CW Halal Portfolio removes JPM, BRK.B, CME (conventional finance — interest-based revenue), and all tobacco/alcohol positions. In their place we increased allocation to energy (+3%), defense (+6%), and minerals (+4%) — sectors that are both halal-compliant and the top performers in 2026. Cash is held in Sukuk (Islamic bonds) or Sharia-compliant money market funds yielding ~4%. The result: a portfolio that respects Islamic principles while capturing 95%+ of our model's alpha.
Screening methodology: AAOIFI Sharia Standards No. 21 (Financial Papers), Dow Jones Islamic Market Index methodology, MSCI Islamic Index criteria. Debt-to-assets <33%, impermissible revenue <5%, cash + receivables to total assets <33%. Purification amounts calculated quarterly. Consult your Sharia advisor for individual rulings.
Our top 50 picks now have their own dedicated report with forward projections and 12-month price targets.
Q1 validated our thesis. While the S&P fell 2.1% and the Magnificent 7 averaged -8%, our CW Aggressive Growth portfolio delivered +13.4%. That's +15.5% alpha. This isn't luck — it's disciplined positioning in what the world actually needs.
For Q2, we're expanding into four key areas: LNG (natural gas up 28%, U.S. becoming the world's largest exporter), fertilizers (Russian sanctions creating a supply crisis that benefits NTR and CF), drones & defense (AVAV up 60% — Switchblade & Puma systems seeing record demand in a $163B market), and beaten-down cyber & semis (INTC, AMD, CRWD, PANW, FTNT — buying quality at a discount).
For our CalSTRS and CalPERS clients: your pension is your foundation. This portfolio complements that guaranteed income with growth and inflation protection. The 10% cash reserve gives us dry powder to deploy on any pullback. The 3.7% average yield across our dividend positions generates real income in uncertain markets.
Let's connect for your Q1 review. Even 15 minutes on the phone helps us stay aligned. We're shifting: more defensive, more commodities, more real assets.
— Sean Anees Saifi, Financial Advisor
Capital Wealth |
saifi@capitalwealthlg.com