As 65 gets close, the mail changes: glossy envelopes, urgent fonts, offers for things you may not need yet. Stephen Maggard, a planner in Columbia, S.C., calls it “the stack of confusion,” and Gail MarksJarvis spends a page of Monday’s Investing Monthly report sorting it. The surprise for people still working at 65: unless your employer has fewer than 20 employees, nothing forces you onto Medicare. You can keep the company plan. Whether you should is a math problem with a couple of traps built in.
Start with the math. Employers pay about 84% of the cost of coverage on average, per KFF, so the typical employee share for single coverage is $1,440 a year — $120 a month — plus about $869 of deductibles and copays. Call it $2,309. Medicare’s menu: Part A (hospitals) is free and you can take it at 65 even while you stay on the work plan. Part B, which replaces your work insurance for doctors and labs, averages $202.90 a month, or $2,434.80 a year. Part D for drugs averages $44 a month. Together, almost $3,000. On the sticker, the company plan wins.
But Medicare alone pays only 80% of your doctor bills, and the hospital side doesn’t kick in until you’ve covered a $1,736 deductible, so planners usually add a Medigap Plan G — about $217 a month for a 65-year-old, per the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission. Now you’re at just over $5,500 a year. What that buys is the thing MarksJarvis keeps coming back to: no surprises. Any doctor or hospital that takes Medicare, no permission slips, and the only bills beyond premiums are a $283 Part B deductible and drug costs capped at $2,100 for the year. A workplace plan can’t legally charge more than $10,600 in network, and 72% of employees have caps of $3,000 or less — but step outside the network for a specialist and, as she puts it, the cost can be huge.
The traps
Three of them. First, income. Cross $109,000 as an individual or $218,000 as a couple and the IRMAA surcharge turns Part B into $284.10 to $689.90 a month for each of you, with up to $91 a month more on Part D. Second, a younger spouse: leave the company plan and she may lose her coverage years before she can start Medicare, and once you’re both enrolled, two sets of premiums can run past the $6,850 average a family pays at work. Third — the one that surprises almost everyone — enroll in any part of Medicare, even free Part A while you keep the work plan, and you can’t contribute to a health savings account anymore. The penalties cut the other way too: skip Part D without creditable drug coverage at work and the surcharge is for life, and you get eight months after leaving employer coverage to sign up.
Our read
This is Insurance and Health Costs (M11) with a Retirement (M10) hinge. The decision isn’t stay-or-go once; it’s annual, made every fall at open enrollment. Justin Henrich, a planner in Kalamazoo, Mich., describes the pattern we see too: the plan works, and works, and then “a year comes when it doesn’t any longer.” The cheaper plan is only cheaper until the year you actually use it — and that’s the year Medicare’s no-surprises math earns its premium.
The planning move is to run both columns every October while you’re still working — your actual premiums and out-of-pocket at work against Part B, Part D and a Medigap quote — and to look at your tax return before you enroll in anything, because IRMAA keys off income and a big Roth conversion or a sale can push a couple over $218,000 without anyone noticing. If you’re funding an HSA, decide the Part A question deliberately rather than letting a Social Security application make it for you. Nobody checks the roof during the storm; open enrollment is the dry afternoon. Bring the stack, and we’ll sort it with you.
