On Oct. 16, 2001, Enron surprised Wall Street with a $618 million quarterly loss. The cause was a $1.01 billion charge for soured investments. On the call, chairman and chief executive Kenneth Lay added that the company had cut shareholder equity by $1.2 billion. The company shrank overnight, on paper. Less than two months later it filed for bankruptcy.
The Journal's In Market History column marked the date on Friday, Oct. 16. The photo beside it shows Enron employees after the layoffs of December 2001. That's the part of the story we remember. The column leaves out one detail, and we add it here as background. Many Enron workers held a lot of the company's stock in their retirement plans. When the stock went, the job and the nest egg went together.
A day earlier the same column told a happier story. On Oct. 15, 1962, photographs showed Soviet nuclear-capable missiles in Cuba. The 13-day Cuban Missile Crisis began. Stocks fell. Art Cashin, later a veteran trader, was a rookie then. An older colleague told him to buy. The reasoning was pure gallows humor. “Cause if you're wrong, the trade will never clear. We'll all be dead.” The trade worked.
Two kinds of scary
Put the two columns side by side and you get a rule. There's fear about the world, and there's fear about one company. World fear is usually the kind to buy through, because the bad case is one where nothing you own matters anyway. Company fear is different. A write-down is the company telling you, in its own numbers, that it was worth less than it said. That's the kind to take seriously, and early.
Our read
This is Behavioral with a Retirement · M10 core. Enron was 25 years ago and the setup still exists. Some 401(k) plans still pay part of the match in company stock, and many offer it as a choice. Plenty of employees let it ride because it's the company they know. The problem is that your paycheck and your savings then share one risk. No book of ours leans on one company's stock the way those workers did. Our most common holding, the Treasury-bill fund SGOV, sits in 49 books at about 5% each. That's the shape of a position you can sleep through.
Your plan touches this in one line of the 401(k) app, the employer stock. This week, open the app and find that line. Note the dollar amount and its share of the whole account. If it's over 10%, write the number down and bring it to us. Then check whether your plan lets you move the match out of company stock. You patch the roof while the sky is clear. That one number is where we'd start a review.
